Super Bowl XLV Betting Preview: Green Bay Packers
Written by Thomas | Thursday, February 3rd, 2011
Betting on the Green Bay Packers this season has been extremely profitable with their 13-6 SU record and 12-7 record ATS. Their high-octane offense kept opposing d-lines on their feet and their big-time defenders were a HUGE reason why the Pack was one of 4 teams all-time to NEVER trail by more than 7 points all season in any given game.
Keep in mind though that they now they face an equally profitable betting team in the Super Bowl, the Pittsburgh Steelers (14-4 SU, 12-6 ATS). Before you place your final wagers, increase your odds on betting by looking inside the Packers offensive and defensive numbers.
Green Bay Packers’ Defense
Though the entire defense has played extremely well this season for the Packers, one guy comes to mind when you talk about the defense – Clay Matthews.
The linebacker’s great play has helped ranked the stout defense at the top of the league in total defense, fifth over with an average of 309.1 yard per game, and second in points allowed (15 ppg).
When you break the numbers down, you find that the passing defense has been the strongest. During the regular season, the Packers surrendered 194.2 yards per game (5th). However, the pass happy playoff teams have gained an average 212.7 yards per game in three games.
The rushing defense was the weaker game in regular season averaging 114.9 yards per game (18th). However, Philadelphia, Atlanta and Chicago only managed to average 69.7 yards per game, which is second in the playoffs behind the Steelers.
Green Bay Packers Offense
When you think of Green Bay, you think of the passing game. Aaron Rodgers has forced fans to deport memories of Brett Favre to the backs of their minds in recent years. His performance has helped the offense rank 10th in scoring with an average of 24.2 points per game.
Rodgers’ arm has led the offense to a ninth place overall ranking in the regular season with an average of 358.1 yards per game. During the regular season, 257.8 yards per game came from the passing game (5th) and 100.4 yards per game came on the ground (24th).
The production from the passing game has decreased in the postseason (282.3 ygg); however, many are talking about the running game. Compared to the 100.4 yards per game in the regular season, you would think that the offense found a new game now that they are averaging 118 yards per game.
If you look into these numbers a little deeper, you will find that the rushing game is averaging almost the same number of yards per carry (3.8 ypc in the regular season and 3.7 ypc in the playoffs). The difference is the number of times they are running the ball. During the regular season, the Packers ran the ball an average of 26.3 times per game. Through three playoff games, the Packers are averaging 5.4 more carries for an average of 17.6 yard per game more than the regular season.
Super Bowl Betting Odds
The Packers opened as 2.5-point favorites at most online sportsbooks. Since the opening line was posted, the Packers have been bet up to 3-point favorites. Green Bay is listed anywhere from -135 to -152 moneyline favorites.
The game total has been floating between 44 to 44.5 points.